Bitauto News From August 11 to 13, the 12th China Automobile Blue Book Forum was unanimously held in Wuhan Funeng Technology, Tianjin Lishen, Honeycomb Energy, one of the leaders from Chi Technology Company. I believe that by 2025, the price of ternary lithium batteries will be reduced by more than half and may be as low as 500 yuan per kilowatt hour.
Wang Yu, President and General Manager of Funeng Technology, Wang Nianju, Executive Vice President of Tianjin Lishen Battery, Yang Hongxin, President of Honeycomb Energy Technology Co., Ltd., and Xu Xiaoming, General Manager of Anchi Technology, expressed his opinion during the meeting. Regarding the cost of electric batteries, the four senior leaders agreed that by 2025, the price of ternary lithium batteries per unit of electricity will be around 500 yuan, and the price of lithium iron phosphate batteries will be about 400 yuan, half the price of lithium iron pho batteriessphate. current price above.
Funeng Technology
In terms of comparison between ternary lithium batteries and lithium iron phosphate batteries, Wang Yu believes that in the short term, lithium iron phosphate batteries and ternary lithium batteries will coexist. At present, the price of lithium iron phosphate batteries has reached a low point, while there is still room to reduce the price of ternary lithium batteries.
In terms of production capacity, on October 26, Funeng Technology Zhenjiang manufacturing base project held a groundbreaking ceremony in Zhenjiang New District, Jiangsu. It is reported that the project will be signed and settled in Zhenjiang New District, Jiangsu Province on July 21. It is jointly sponsored by Funeng Technology (Ganzhou) Co., Ltd., China Guoxin Holdings Co., Ltd. and Zhenjiang Economic. and Technological Development Zone. The projectrepresents a total investment of 15 billion yuan and will be implemented in two phases. It will produce 20 GWh of batteries per year and support around 400,000 new energy vehicles each year.
Tianjin Lishen
In Wang Nianju's opinion, lithium iron phosphate batteries are more suitable for commercial vehicles, while lithium batteries ternary are more suitable for passenger cars. Electric batteries have been used for nearly 10 years and have reached a bottleneck period. Once the energy density reaches 300 Wh/kg, it should stay there for a long time. In fact, if the energy density is maintained at a certain point, the battery safety problem can be solved.
Regarding the future model of the electric battery industry, Wang Nianju said that by 2025, there will be about 10 companies in China, Japan and South Korea, and severalin Europe and the United States. States. Wang Yu also believes that China, Japan and South Korea will go hand in hand, but the final success will depend on next-generation product development capabilities, customer service capabilities, etc.
Hive Energy
Hive Energy, a subsidiary of Great Wall Motors, published a product plan last year and will spend 2 billion euros to build a large 24 GWH power plant. large-scale power plant in Europe. At the same time, it also launched battery cell products made of cobalt-free materials and quaternary materials for the first time in the world. Additionally, by 2025, Honeycomb Energy's planned domestic generation capacity will reach 76 GWh, and its planned global generation capacity will reach 120 GWh.
BYD Song DM is a plug-in hybrid model from the BYD Dynasty series. The energy density of the battery used is 16.9 kW.H and lThe battery's cruising range is approximately 80 km. For new energy vehicles, the vehicle battery determines the distance the vehicle can travel, as well as the consequences of its use. and vehicle maintenance in the subsequent period. As for the issue of cost, for those purchasing plug-in hybrids, besides vehicle performance, the most worrying thing is battery life. For batteries, service. The service life is limited in use, that is, after a period of use, the battery inside the active lithium and active materials will be lost. When the loss reaches a certain level, the battery is essentially discarded. How much does it cost to replace the battery later?
For such a vehicle, the car uses a ternary lithium battery. Depending on the battery life, the number of battery cycles is approximately 1,500 to 200 times thebattery cycle. total battery life. Judging from the vehicle life of approximately 20,000 kilometers per year, depending on the number of battery cycles, it can be used for at least 6-8 years. BYD Song DM battery cells have a lifetime warranty, which means that under normal conditions. Attenuation conditions, free replacement is possible.
But judging from the situation such as man-made damage, how much does battery replacement cost? Judging from the price of batteries, as battery production capacity increases in a few years, the gross profit of batteries will be even lower. Calculating based on the existing battery cost of 900 to 1,100 kilowatt hours, it will cost about 15,000 to 18,000.
Generally speaking, for the subsequent replacement of new energy vehicle batteries, thanks to the efforts of battery manufacturers and supportNationally, the cost of batteries and other expenses may be further reduced in the future, and the cost of battery replacement will be even higher.
This article is from the author of Autohome Chejiahao and does not represent the views and positions of Autohome.